Preliminary
Notes Toward the Monograph:
On the Progressive
Strangification of Order
by Win Wenger, Ph.D.
Project Renaissance
Box 332, Gaithersburg, MD 20884
Presented to the
Extending Program, Creative Problem-Solving Institute
Summary
The tendency,
and its implications, for everything in the universe to drift toward
more and more complex, mixed, agendas.
Before chaos and fractile theory, astronomers used to worry about
the "3-body problem." They could calculate nicely for
two bodies of any size orbiting gravitationally around a single
point. Even when one body was much more massive than the other and
the common point around which they both rotated was within the one
more massive body, as with normal planets and moons for example.
They could not begin to calculate the orbital paths where more than
one common point is the center of mass for the system. For triple
stars, other multiple star systems, and for planets orbiting these
or even merely double stars, they simply threw up their hands.
In chaos and
fractile theory - defined by the behavior of systems with more than
one center of attraction, each attractor "strange" to
the other - we are just beginning to become able to describe such
trajectories mathematically, even though we are as yet unable to
predict them. Already we have learned that the seemingly eternal
arrangement of our own solar system is itself "unstable"
in such a manner, producing actual changes in orbits of the planets
including that of Earth, over geologic-long eras of time. (Speculation:
this might well be the driving force causing Earth to evolve ecosystems
which maintain our world within biologically acceptable conditions
under our 10-mile shell of atmosphere, despite changes in amounts,
distribution and direction of insulation and/or of other physical
conditions. The "Gaeia Hypothesis" on another level?)
These and related
matters, in turn, are only a specific instance within a much larger
pattern or tendency, which may be described as "negentropic"
in nature.
Wiener's
Extension of Thermodynamics:
Norbert Wiener,
on the grounds that all information and all structure represent
forms of energy, extended the original classical concepts of the
Laws of Thermodynamics to describe all forms of energy. In
the classical model, one can obtain energy available for work (differentiated,
so it can flow between one level and another) only at the expense
of energy available for work elsewhere. His model, though generally
accepted, was not popular because it was very pessimistic. Not only
would the physical universe eventually die a "heat death"
in which everything in effect became a tepid "luke warm,"
no areas warmer from which to flow and no areas cooler into which
to flow said flow generating "work:" because all information
is energy, all information tends toward ITS most probable
distribution, that of error and meaninglessness. All structures
likewise tend to break down and become rubble. This general tendency
of everything to break down into lukewarm meaninglessness is, in
fact, the tendency found in all arrangements to increase in randomness
or what thermodynamicists call "entropy."
Early Contradictions
of Entropy:
1. Many theorists
were impelled for emotional reasons to look for a countervailing
universal tendency, that of negative entropy or "negentropy."
Many were arguing a case for "negentropy" before any sound
base was found for it.
2. The emotional
and popular thrust toward some sort of belief in "negentropy"
was acerbated by the popular value, in Western culture in the late
19th and early 20th centuries, toward a strong belief in "progress,"
reflecting a succession of technological and scientific advances,
economic and social gains characterizing the era, and mixed in with
other if somewhat misleading issues such as "white man's burden,"
Darwinism and Social Darwinism in its various forms. Our history
and anthropology professions and literature to this day carry remnants
of this attitude, to the point of reflexively assuming previous
generations even in our own society to be relatively naive and even
the wise men of the past in various cultures to be relatively simple-minded.
(Machiavelli - please hide your head for a few convenient moments...)
Cultural anthropology reflexively dismisses any evidence even that
relatively high physical technologies may have existed in previous
eras, as well as periods of world-wide commerce long before Columbus
or even the Vikings. Anything is reflexively dismissed which does
not support the popular notion that we here and now represent the
very highest point of human advance thus far, and that the further
back one goes in time the more primitive conditions necessarily
become.
3. A less emotional
argument and one of perhaps greater value, was that of biological
evolution itself, from which popular forms of Darwinism emerged.
In its original form - one which had two major flaws - the matter
was simply this: the geological record showed and shows a successive
evolution of life forms in which, taken at least as a most general
whole, more complex and sophisticated life forms exist today (including
homo sap.) than did hundreds of millions of years ago. This flies
in the face of the universal tendency of everything to degrade toward
meaninglessness. Norbert Wiener's response to this is the thesis
that it IS temporarily possible, from time to time, to isolate
localized pools of increasing order within the overall slide toward
entropy, but only at the expense of ordered energy from elsewhere
(that of our sun, in this instance), and however efficiently or
inefficiently this is done, the eventual end result is still that
high-entropy blahdom.
A. The bioevolutionary
case grows much stronger when the "survival of the fittest"
argument is introduced to account for such overall progress from
the primitive to the sophisticated in the geological record. Elaborate
life forms sometimes do come crashing, but when "survival of
the fittest" is extended by Alexander Cope to include "fittest
to survive in both previous and new conditions," in his Law
of Survival of the Unspecialized, a very compelling picture emerges
in which life forms generally tend to develop more and more complex
characteristics in pursuit of marginal advantages. However, conditions
change from time to time and those whose adaptations were mainly
specialized and thus dependent upon the old conditions, tend to
lose out. Those whose sophistications allowed them to live under
the old conditions but also under the new, replace the specialized.
Humans in this view are seen as the apex (thus far) of this tendency:
each of our specializations - footedness, handedness, big-brains,
and speech - enabled us to live in far wider a range of conditions
than what we sacrificed.
B. This argument
in turn gains further force when the observation is added that the
same most general conditions which drove evolution here on Earth
likely prevail virtually everywhere else that physical conditions
permit eventual emergence of complexly self-maintaining, self-reproducing
and varying systems. --A generally stable environment in which such
forms can flourish and multiply, occasionally shifted by some change
in conditions, resulting in survival advantage of those whose elaborating
adaptations allow more possibilities than they sacrifice. This part
of the case, in turn bears directly upon the main modern case for
"negentropy," as we shall see below.
C. Only in
the last few years has the original form of this case, life proceeding
inexorably toward higher and more sophisticated forms of order,
been shattered. We've learned that 67 million years ago, a comet
smashed the planet and the ecosystem in which the dinosaurs were
a part, tidal waves, world-wide forest fires and blast effect only
being the start of a destruction which wiped out of existence 80
to 90% of all the species then living on land, in the sea, and most
notably in the air. (This discovery is the main factor which prevented
us from replicating the same effect by unleashing a nuclear winter.)
Years of loss of protection by the ozone layer; thousands of years
of poisoning of both land and sea from the rotting incinerated remains;
thousands of years of disruption of the CO2 cycle via the slow rollover
of the ocean waters. Further, it turns out that this almost unimaginable
catastrophe was only one of three, at least, which occurred during
the course of bioevolution here on Earth and which profoundly altered
that course.
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(1) It
is in the details of the dinosaurian catastrophe, however, that
the original bioevolutionary case for negentropy took its severest
beating. It made all the difference as to what survived, all over
the planet, beyond the immediate impact range, as to where and when
the comet hit. A crash in the sea is far worse than one on the land
- so much water-vapor is released (and continues for awhile to be
boiled off over the hotspot) that whatever isn't washed into the
sea by the immediate tidal waves will be so by a succession of Cat.
5 + hurricanes. Landing at time of spring in the northern hemisphere,
species whose habitats were there suffered far worse than those
in the southern hemisphere, whose 6-months-later growing season
had to cope with only a little of the stratospheric dust pall. All
these and other elements peculiar to each of these extraterrestrial
impact catastrophes, have nothing at all to do with "fitness"
in bioevolutionary terms. It was a matter of chance, defined by
the particulars of the specific catastrophe, as to what species
- and what types of species - survived and as to those which
did not.
(2) Other discoveries
dealt the coup de grace to the original case that negentropy happens
because the geologic record shows a progression of life forms from
primitive to modern-sophisticated. Many of the dinosaurs - especially
the carnivores and most especially the later carnivores - were highly
intelligent, though no one has yet voiced the hypothesis that saurian
sapiens or even a saurian culture or civilization may have existed
before the catastrophe, all signs of which would of course presumably
have long since disappeared over 67 million years. Most of the dinosaurs
were warm-blooded; some herded; some took prolonged care of their
young. The closer we look at dinosaurs the more features we discover
that we'd long since assumed our survival and emergence,
and their extinction, was due to our more sophisticated species
developing and which they presumably lacked. If that weren't enough,
geologists discovered many sophisticated species in their heydey,
before the yet earlier catastrophe which cleared the way for
the dinosaurs to emerge(!), which had already a remarkable mixture
of mammalian and reptilian characteristics, denting still further
the simple model of life progressing from amphibian to reptile to
mammal to that wonderful apex of all lifekind, us.
In summary
to this point, then, the example of life progressing from simple
to sophisticated as demonstrating a universal tendency toward negentropy,
offsetting Wiener's pessimistic model, took a beating because so
much of the course of evolution has happened as due to chance event
instead of selective "fitness to survive," and because
the closer we look at prehistoric life forms the more and higher-order
sophistication we discover within them.
Yet overall,
it is clear that from pre-Cambrian days to the present, life has
progressed from simple one-celled microorganisms to what we have
today. (The defining event which ended the pre-Cambrian and gave
rise to the Cambrian, by the way, was another extraterrestrial impact
and mass extinction.) Some of the specific mechanisms by means of
which this progress happened, in those long intervals between the
major catastrophes, emerge as descriptive natural principles which
point toward similar development everywhere else in the universe
that life of some sort can emerge and persist short of events producing
100% extinction rates.
Looking at
these, together with some of the principles of modern systems theory,
interference-pattern physics and chaos/fractile theory, show us
an apparently very clear path toward negentropy - indeed, toward
universal negentropy on an almost unimaginable scale and comprehensiveness.
Selection
Itself As an Entropy-Reducer:
Here we're looking not directly at Ilya Prigogine's Nobel Prize-winning
findings that complex systems under some conditions, instead of
disintegrating into meaningless rubble, actually explode into higher
forms of order. Instead, we go back to the simple example in classical
thermodynamics where, by pouring a glass of hot water and a glass
of cold water into a bucket, what you have and all that you can
pour back into the two glasses is luke-warm water. The hot and cold
molecules of water have randomized their distribution. Only if you
have someone or some agency acting as a selective gate, passing
hot molecules in one direction and cold molecules in the other,
can you restore order - i.e., hot and cold concentrations - to that
system.
* Selection
on any basis other than random, represents some sort of increase
in order - i.e., is negentropic.
* All the time
that bioevolution continued on earth between those times
of all-consuming catastrophe, had selection at work on non-random
bases and thus did cumulatively point life toward higher
orders of sophistication - i.e., negentropically. 99.999% of the
time life was evolving on Earth, negentropy therein was progressing.
* The very
fact that there ARE breaks in that line of progress, from
the simpler to the more sophisticated, by their contrast actually
help make the case since they are the product of catastrophic events
whose impact on life forms at the time was essentially random, having
nothing to do with the "fitness to survive." The factors
(or descriptive principles) making for "fitness to survive"
are, therefore, of greater bearing on the universal case than hitherto
suspected.
* Virtually
everywhere, then, that life or life-like phenomena exist, somewhere
between the extremes of totally unchanging conditions and catastrophic
changes which produce 100% rates of extinction, will be found tendencies
to evolve from the primitive to the sophisticated. From elaboration
of specialties in one set condition to ability to survive over far
wider ranging conditions. From reflex-moment response to being able
to take into account more and more different factors, in one's pursuit
of its needs and wants - i.e., to becoming intelligent. (We are
reminded that, yes, we still have the primitive with us: protozoa,
slime molds, etc. But these each have limited capabilities and would
have to evolve far beyond where they are now for them to start pointing
to evolutionary trends. Their continued very ubiquity is our guarantee,
in a sense, that if we do let some new catastrophe happen to Earth,
life will continue and start evolving from some new baseline.)
Some further
implication can be sensed in all of this when we put together the
tendency of conditions to evolve life into coping successfully with
wider and more differentiated sets of conditions - put that tendency
together with several other interesting phenomena--
1. It seems
apparent that Earth's is an average or near-average case, in terms
of the length of time required for this habitat to develop intelligence
and from that intelligence, civilization and, from a run of civilizations,
an instance where a civilization actually stayed its hand from self-extinction
through one major opportunity, that of strategic nuclear warfare.
(No guarantee, of course, that we will also stay our hand on any
of the many other opportunities we have for creating a new high-extinction-rate
catastrophe.) Not because we are here and therefore where we're
looking from has to be the middle. Rather, periods of many millions
of years of unchanging conditions are inefficient in evolution;
so also are those catastrophes which undo so much of the preceding
sophistication. So out of the huge variety of conditions obtaining
throughout the universe, there have to be settings more efficient
or faster in giving rise to these universal tendencies than
is our Earth, just as obviously there must be many, many settings
even where life is flourishing there have to be settings less efficient,
slower.
2. It's increasingly
evident that planetary settings for life, in the physical universe,
must be relatively frequent because planets themselves are so frequent.
Until a few years ago we had never observed planets even around
near-by suns. Now it seems that almost all stars and all types of
stars have planets; even if only one in a thousand can bear
life that means billions of instances even in just our one galaxy,
the Milky Way Galaxy, one of the smaller of the billions of galaxies
now within reach of our scopes. (It also appears that most of the
"missing" mass or dark matter of the universe may actually
be comprised of planets, ranging from the planetesimal to
"brown dwarf" though most of these are wandering lifelessly
in the cold of interstellar space - a marvelous resource for some
future technology to develop!) [Run down reference specifics on
the gravity lens observations. --Also the law of event magnitudes,
as an example of the style or fractilian behavior of the universe.]
Nor are we limited to planetary environs as the habitat for life
to evolve and flourish. Even within the range of what we recognize
to be organic, huge interstellar clouds of organic compounds, each
aggregating more mass than the Earth itself, are to be found almost
everywhere in space.
3. Such abundances,
taken together with the tendencies set by evolutionary selection
through dynamics which apparently pertain everywhere, and also taken
together with the prospect that some habitats evolved life
and went on beyond our own present levels long since, means that
we have to look at each of the characteristics which selective evolution
necessarily selects for, and examine the case in which that tendency
or tendencies be extended to infinity.
(It seems we
might not have to assume God or a god creating the universe, in
order to come up with the possibility that even if the universe
in the beginning did not have a universal being as part of the picture,
one emerged long since. Take to infinity such tendencies as not
only intelligence, but the taking of more and more factors into
account, and survival over a wider and wider range of conditions
-- * either overwhelming all environments or finding more and more
supportive and mutually supportive ecological ways to involve with
all environments, and at this late juncture we here still
exist! * -- and the general mutually-supportive tendencies which
move specific species from predation and parasitism toward symbiosis.
Can this be love?) --Or are we a farm, and what's getting harvested?
If we can put aside some old and emotional assumptions and do some
fresh thinking on fresh data, we might obtain some useful or even
practical insights.
We don't even
have to go to such ultimate(?) levels to find ourselves neck-deep
in some pretty large considerations. --Which brings us toward the
general situation which the title of this preliminary paper and
presentation reflects: the general strangification of everything
in the universe.
When this writer
was first pointing out that selection of any kind which is not random,
will tend toward higher order, he also pointed out that Wiener missed
in another serious regard as well. If one begins with the assumption
of pure chaotic randomness - the very condition toward which Wiener
assumed we were headed - one finds elements in collision or in other
interactions. By high-probability statistical definition: some of
these interactions end immediately and those elements go on toward
other interactions; some elements last a while; some interactions
last a long while. Thus, even in such absolute chaos, some interactions
or systems are selected for in favor of those which continue for
some time. Even such absolute chaos, then, has some tendency to
clot up toward order, toward some sort of arrangement of longer-lasting
interaction-systems. (All of this was specified in Win Wenger, Civilizations
and Other Living Systems [1972, when Prigogene was winning the
Nobel for his rather specialized form of negentropy], and Toward
A General Theory of Systems [1979].
Among all the
different possible longer-lasting interaction systems, those which
hit upon replication of themselves from among the elements available
in the soup, would soon outnumber by selection all other kinds of
system and enormously enrich the incidence among which other
aspects of selection could be selecting among. --And so on for all
the other various features recognized in the Terrestrial instance
of bioevolution (and other episodes of evolution including social
in its various forms), up to and including Cope's Law of Survival
of the Unspecialized, which gives us the kicking-off point for emergence
of intelligence. This then, may be regarded as the Specific Theory
of Involvement - that, even if starting under initially chaotic
conditions, more and more of elements within the universe tend to
become evolved in complex systems defined first by their ability
to sustain themselves over a variety of conditions (complex homeostasis),
then also defined by other survival-supporting characteristics identified
in bioevolutionary example. This is negentropy on a pretty large
scale.
Beyond that,
we see a truly universal tendency of everything to get caught
up in more and more complex arrangements, of which this tendency
toward complex homeostasis cum other survival characteristics
is only one example. Even in classical interference-pattern physics
(most of whose usefulness to us may still be ahead of us!), starting
with the primitive example of intermodulation between two closely-related
tones, even the slightest difference in one tone makes huge differences
- but in an orderly, predictable way - in the intermodulant product.
That creates "space" or "room" or "opportunity
for many iterative instances to develop. Moving on to the much more
general fractile or chaos theory, where even the slightest, undetectable
initial difference makes huge differences in outcome but in ways
our mathematics are not yet up to predicting - hence the bit about
"butterflies in China creating hurricanes in the Yucatan"
- often or even usually with many strange attractors:
* Everything
in the universe, sooner or later gets caught up in one or more of
these complex arrangements, complexly homeostatic systems, and re-iterative
situations. Usually in many of these simultaneously, and at various
differing levels.
* Virtually
everything around us and in us IS caught up in and a member
of such complex arrangements, re-iterative situations and complexly
homeostatic systems. More and more of everything is more and more
strangified, responding to more and more differentiated tugs of
influence. Civilizations undergoing this increasing mix of emotions,
agendas, and whatever other factors of influence, consider themselves
to have "lost their innocence." Our failure to comprehend
these changes, in turn further complexifies matters for everyone
else and for ourselves - and our successful understanding of them
also further complexifies matters for everyone else and for
ourselves, only we get to appreciate it more. --And to have a better
chance of numbering ourselves among the survivors.
* To the extent
that we can bring ourselves to understand such re-iterative situations,
complex arrangements and complexly homeostatic systems, we can better
understand and cope with what's going on.
An example
of this last is the "Win/Win-Finder" or "Incentive
Equilibrium Analysis) system for creatively solving problems, which
assumes that most long-lasting problems and those involving substantial
numbers of people are complexly homeostatic systems. Identifying
and intercepting the feedbacks by means of which such systems maintain
their homeostasis, allows one to change - solve - those problem
situations with little cost in energy, where conventional solution-seeking
which ignores and tries thus to override those feedbacks, are costly
and moreover usually fail. The problem keeps bouncing back into
place.
Conclusion:
We can now draw a much clearer picture, from the bio-evolutionary
Terrestrial example, of where certain universal descriptive principles
are directing the course of events. The scope for action of these
principles is comprehensively inclusive. In detail and in general,
the considerations thus derived point to very different perspectives
than those we grew up with or even those which are mostly held now.
If we can bring ourselves to better understand these principles
or mechanisms, a key segment of which are summed up in the descriptions
of general systems theory and chaos/fractile theory, we can better
understand and cope with what we are facing (and not facing!). One
CPS process entire with many applications has already come out of
the beginnings of such understanding, but far, far more is there
to be found. Chaos and new higher order are very much descriptive
of the phenomenon of creativity itself. Those of us associated with
the professional practice of creative method need to comprehend
these larger more universal patterns of the phenomena with which
we purport to professionally address.
Copyright 1996 by Win Wenger, Ph.D., Box 332, Gaithersburg,
MD 20884. You may, however, freely copy this paper - in whole but
not in part, including this copyright notice - to share freely with
those whom you care about, and in pursuit of further understandings.
©1998
by Project Renaissance (regarding this internet version only, other
copyrights may apply). While we encourage the free distribution of
this article (complete text only, including this notice and acknowledgement
of source), we do require that expressed permission be granted by
Project Renaissance for any major republication. For minor printing
and sharing, we only request that you notify us. To
reach Win Wenger, please visit his website at Project
Renaissance.
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